Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.544538 0.636633 0.737240 0.854999 0.988736 1.135568 1.308642
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.414829 0.541269 0.692479 0.885251 1.122938 1.404784 1.762490
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.322435 0.462905 0.644457 0.893067 1.220921 1.634372 2.190408
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.247050 0.387098 0.581247 0.864461 1.260359 1.786466 2.529176
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.209647 0.354185 0.566865 0.893940 1.373556 2.038488 3.014212
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.179072 0.324438 0.550369 0.914813 1.472490 2.274966 3.492806
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.161992 0.312169 0.557003 0.968519 1.621457 2.590882 4.103874
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.137090 0.281793 0.529680 0.964215 1.679382 2.774949 4.532949
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.115340 0.252664 0.499558 0.950243 1.718293 2.930093 4.925728
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.098216 0.228783 0.474626 0.940879 1.761728 3.092635 5.337225
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.087472 0.215423 0.466542 0.959237 1.851781 3.333722 5.885039
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.078049 0.202975 0.458213 0.975554 1.938544 3.573669 6.443563
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.068397 0.188486 0.444460 0.981205 2.008746 3.794020 6.989694
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.060903 0.177492 0.436290 0.996676 2.098090 4.053084 7.616859
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.053310 0.164642 0.422270 0.998631 2.161871 4.271228 8.186609
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.044284 0.146027 0.392678 0.964759 2.153373 4.359436 8.535193
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.040755 0.141349 0.394032 0.996302 2.275148 4.690083 9.327830
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.037076 0.135419 0.391516 1.018907 2.380359 4.995830 10.091084
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.035670 0.135904 0.404658 1.077730 2.563859 5.458040 11.160400
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.031286 0.126181 0.390743 1.072965 2.614070 5.669384 11.778678
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.027031 0.115733 0.373262 1.057619 2.640002 5.834522 12.318057
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.023552 0.106922 0.358684 1.047338 2.675449 6.019240 12.901842
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.021550 0.102829 0.356542 1.067479 2.779527 6.345864 13.771781